2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and pick

The 2012 Euro Cup is as a result of the ultimate four teams, when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon are going to playing to face the winner of the Spain vs. Portugal game that can take place later today.
Recent history between these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't care about earlier times, these are focused on the sport at hand.
The German squad have never beaten Italy in here the competitive match.
"We can't turn back time, just forget about about this, the past doesn't may play a role in your planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is the fact that Germany hasn't won against Italy in the major tournament, but just what exactly?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it is time for Germany to win as these are the widely used at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will probably be a tough, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong way about this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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